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A majority didn't vote for a liberal nightmare
On misperceiving the other side
Nov 25, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
37
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A majority didn't vote for a liberal nightmare
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11
No, post-election punditry isn't hindsight bias
Let the pundits be pundits
Nov 11, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
21
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No, post-election punditry isn't hindsight bias
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August 2024
Ambiguity Drives Hindsight Bias
New experimental evidence
Aug 17, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
9
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Ambiguity Drives Hindsight Bias
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July 2024
Only Fools Avoid Hindsight Bias
Why news usually provides evidence that you expected it
Jul 20, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
15
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Only Fools Avoid Hindsight Bias
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15
May 2024
The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 2: Social Media)
Why social media makes us sad.
May 18, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
10
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The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 2: Social Media)
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9
The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 1)
Why public discourse should be negative even when things are going well
May 11, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
29
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The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 1)
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20
April 2024
Centrists are (probably) less biased
Why we should expect those in the middle to be more sensitive to evidence
Apr 6, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
14
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Centrists are (probably) less biased
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2
February 2024
Ideological Bayesians
Why limits on attention can lead reasonable people into bias and polarization.
Feb 24, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
23
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Ideological Bayesians
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16
January 2024
Representativeness is Rational When Memory is Limited
It makes sense to prioritize remembering stereotypical outcomes
Jan 27, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
2
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Representativeness is Rational When Memory is Limited
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3
Bayesians Commit the Gambler's Fallacy
And they do so in ways that match well-known empirical effects
Jan 6, 2024
•
Kevin Dorst
9
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Bayesians Commit the Gambler's Fallacy
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4
December 2023
In Defense of Epistemic Empathy
Knocking down the standard reasons for thinking that your opponents are dumb.
Dec 16, 2023
•
Kevin Dorst
15
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In Defense of Epistemic Empathy
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10
October 2023
Bayesian Injustice
Why rational people often replicate unfairness
Oct 21, 2023
•
Kevin Dorst
8
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Bayesian Injustice
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14
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